Monday, November 04, 2019

Melbourne Cup 2019

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Surprise Baby at Moonee Valley September 2019

The annual 24 piece puzzle has come around again and racing fans are pondering the odds of tipping the 2019 Melbourne Cup winner.

The form “experts” are tipping the current favourite Constantinople, last year’s winner Cross CounterCaulfield Cup winner Mer de Glace,  the Chris Waller trained Finche and various other International contenders.

Local hopes rest on Surprise Baby whose sire Shocking won the Melbourne Cup in 2009, and Vow and Declare who ran second in the Caulfield Cup.  The Zabeel factor, which used to be quite reliable, is largely missing these days, but the New Zealand trained The Chosen One has Zabeel as his grandsire, and is the sole runner with the Z Factor in his pedigree.

There are two mares – Youngstar and Magic Wand who are not given that much chance. The last mare to win was Makybe Diva who triumphed three times running (2003 to 2005), a feat as yet to be duplicated.

You might as well stick a pin in the form guide; it’s as good a method as anything.

My online Sporstbet account is flush with money, and as I haven’t had a bet all spring, I may wager a few dollars each way on Finche, Surprise Baby and Il Paradiso (I like his name!) with not much confidence.

Anyway, Good Luck if you’re having a flutter on the Cup.

Tuesday Afternoon Update

So much for my tips, but then again all the experts were out as well. Good to see victory for an Australian bred horse, that being Vow & Declare, who coincidently was sired by Declaration of War the Victoria Derby winner  Warning’s dad. 

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Vow & Declare – photo from Turnbull Stakes Day 2019

Irish horse Master of Reality ran second, but was relegated to fourth after a protest was upheld, so Prince of Arran was awarded second place and Il Paradiso third. Surprise Baby ran fifth.

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